Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Joe Kent between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

joe-kent-charged-by-april-30

Volume

9.9K

24h volume

744

1w volume

1.6K

Open interest

2.5K

Liquidity

4.8K

Liquidity CLOB

4.8K

Start

Mar 19, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 19, 2026

Event ID

286597

Slug

joe-kent-charged-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Joe Kent charged by April 30?",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects a 92.5% implied probability for no charges against Joe Kent by April 30, driven by the absence of any indictment three weeks after mid-March reports of an FBI probe into alleged classified leaks from his tenure as National Counterterrorism Center director. The investigation predated his resignation over Iran war policy disputes, yet no arrests, formal accusations, or leaked evidence have emerged amid political backlash and Kent's public denials framing it as a distraction. With just over three weeks remaining, traders weigh the DOJ's typical pace against internal Trump administration tensions as major hurdles to swift action. Realistic upsets could include fresh leaks, accelerated grand jury proceedings, or escalating media pressure prompting rapid charges.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T22:53:57.138Z"
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