Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Ticker

milei-out-as-president-of-argentina-before-2027

Volume

9.8K

24h volume

28

1w volume

335

Open interest

2.9K

Liquidity

9.0K

Liquidity CLOB

9.0K

Start

Nov 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 5, 2025

Event ID

73152

Slug

milei-out-as-president-of-argentina-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices a mere 8% chance of Javier Milei exiting as Argentina's president before 2027, driven by his solidified congressional position after La Libertad Avanza's larger-than-expected midterm election gains in October 2025 and macroeconomic successes slashing annual inflation from 211% in 2023 to 31.5% by late 2025, alongside falling poverty rates. Recent polls through late March 2026 show approval ratings hitting historic lows amid rising unemployment and corruption allegations against administration officials, fueling protests and over 520 resignations earlier in the year, but fragmented opposition lacks the two-thirds supermajority needed in the Chamber of Deputies for impeachment proceedings. Absent a seismic scandal or unified no-confidence push, structural barriers favor Milei completing his term.",
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