Nothing Ever Happens: March

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

Ticker

nothing-ever-happens-march

Volume

321.7K

24h volume

1.9K

1w volume

27.9K

Open interest

31.3K

Liquidity

9.8K

Liquidity CLOB

9.8K

Start

Mar 3, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 3, 2026

Event ID

241874

Slug

nothing-ever-happens-march

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "id": "241874",
  "ticker": "nothing-ever-happens-march",
  "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-march",
  "title": "Nothing Ever Happens: March",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Iranian Regime Falls\n- Fed Rate Cut\n- Trump declares election interference national emergency\n- Insurrection Act invoked\n- SAVE Act signed into law\n- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election\n\n Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThis market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-03T17:19:16.491659Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-03T17:19:16.491653Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
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  "featured": false,
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  "liquidity": 9786.8217,
  "volume": 321659.6954749999,
  "openInterest": 31301.7402,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-02T17:43:07.41898Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T02:01:16.050967Z",
  "competitive": 0.9702850212249848,
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  "enableOrderBook": true,
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  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1485248",
      "question": "Nothing Ever Happens: March",
      "conditionId": "0xf30a0d0e1df877663805d30fa1dcf02c394c6b97fe94b3737b7d04fee11cd05d",
      "slug": "nothing-ever-happens-march",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "10086.8217",
      "startDate": "2026-03-03T17:17:44.968452Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Iranian Regime Falls\n- Fed Rate Cut\n- Trump declares election interference national emergency\n- Insurrection Act invoked\n- SAVE Act signed into law\n- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election\n\n Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThis market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf",
      "outcomes": "[\"Nothing\", \"Something\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.675\", \"0.325\"]",
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      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-02T17:43:09.511209Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T01:59:13.424978Z",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-03",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
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      "umaBond": "500",
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          "startDate": "2026-03-03",
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      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.07,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.47,
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      "bestBid": 0.67,
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      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-03T17:15:16.893919Z",
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  "series": [
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      "id": "10069",
      "ticker": "nothing-ever-happens",
      "slug": "nothing-ever-happens",
      "title": "Nothing Ever Happens",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "monthly",
      "image": "https://paycheck.in/images/DLF_IPL_Logo.jpg/@@images/image.jpeg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-negative-approval-before-march-1qIERzlB6HpB.jpg",
      "active": true,
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      "createdAt": "2025-04-25T21:56:40.273468Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T02:00:15.50026Z",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "101337",
      "label": "Parlays",
      "slug": "parlays",
      "createdAt": "2024-11-27T20:28:32.874197Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:46.71774Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Traders price \"Nothing\" at 67.5% implied probability after March 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any triggering events amid geopolitical tensions and domestic policy stasis. Escalated US-Israel airstrikes on Iran, including strikes on gas fields and a brief Trump-ordered pause on power plant attacks, drove headlines and Senate debates on troop withdrawal resolutions, but failed to topple the Iranian regime. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration, the Insurrection Act went uninvoked amid No Kings protests, and the SAVE Act—requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration—languished without enactment. With the deadline passed, consensus anticipates \"Nothing\" resolution barring UMA disputes over interpretations.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T01:49:39.622Z"
  }
}