
Obama divorce before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Ticker
obama-divorce-before-2027
Volume
946
Open interest
257
Liquidity
7.1K
Liquidity CLOB
7.1K
Start
Nov 5, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 5, 2025
Event ID
73122
Slug
obama-divorce-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices \"No\" at 91% for a Barack Obama divorce before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible legal filings, official announcements, or verified reports of marital discord from the former president's 33-year marriage to Michelle Obama. Rumors peaking in 2025—sparked by separate public appearances—were publicly debunked in their joint podcast episode, where they joked about the speculation, followed by affectionate shared photos in August. In March 2026, Michelle Obama described positively \"navigating a new phase\" as empty nesters, underscoring partnership stability. No developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this, though late-breaking personal scandals or health events could alter trader sentiment before year-end resolution.",
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}- Obama divorce before 2027?Vol 946Liq 7.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book