Obama divorce before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Ticker

obama-divorce-before-2027

Volume

946

Open interest

257

Liquidity

7.1K

Liquidity CLOB

7.1K

Start

Nov 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 5, 2025

Event ID

73122

Slug

obama-divorce-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "obama-divorce-before-2027",
  "title": "Obama divorce before 2027?",
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      "title": "Obama Divorce",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices \"No\" at 91% for a Barack Obama divorce before 2027, driven by the complete absence of credible legal filings, official announcements, or verified reports of marital discord from the former president's 33-year marriage to Michelle Obama. Rumors peaking in 2025—sparked by separate public appearances—were publicly debunked in their joint podcast episode, where they joked about the speculation, followed by affectionate shared photos in August. In March 2026, Michelle Obama described positively \"navigating a new phase\" as empty nesters, underscoring partnership stability. No developments in the past 30 days have emerged to challenge this, though late-breaking personal scandals or health events could alter trader sentiment before year-end resolution.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T15:28:05.933Z"
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