Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".

Ticker

over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-6

Volume

98

24h volume

60

1w volume

98

Open interest

64

Liquidity

82

Liquidity CLOB

82

Start

Apr 3, 2026

End

Apr 6, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 3, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Event ID

340819

Slug

over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-6

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "ticker": "over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-6",
  "slug": "over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-6",
  "title": "Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the \"Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday\" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the \"Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday\" figure on the \"FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday\" table when checked at the specified time.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to \"No\".",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday",
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      "id": "1849583",
      "question": "Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?",
      "conditionId": "0x6f76b90449f65878a8a76f66dc5a1e044b5d6e6ca9900bf5c36689eed361dc7e",
      "slug": "over-400-us-flights-cancelled-on-april-6",
      "resolutionSource": "https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday",
      "endDate": "2026-04-06T00:00:00Z",
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      "startDate": "2026-04-03T23:29:58.649516Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the \"Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday\" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the \"Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday\" figure on the \"FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday\" table when checked at the specified time.\n\nIf the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to \"No\".",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "103820",
      "label": "airport",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "FlightAware data shows approximately 190 cancellations within, into, or out of the United States so far on April 6, with the market resolving based on the final \"yesterday\" tally exceeding 400, checked at 12:00 PM ET tomorrow. FAA advisories highlight high winds potentially delaying flights at Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), and New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA), alongside thunderstorms at Florida hubs (FLL, MCO, MIA, PBI) and low clouds at San Francisco (SFO), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions. Easter Monday return travel amplifies delays amid lingering holiday demand, yet prior days' storm-driven peaks (300–500 cancellations) have eased, anchoring trader consensus at 68% for \"No\" as counts remain subdued without escalation signals.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:29:02.380Z"
  }
}