Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as Russian president runs until May 2030, secured by 2020 amendments resetting limits and his 2024 re-election with 87% of the vote, driving trader consensus to price a 97% chance he remains in office by June 30, 2026. High approval ratings near 80% in early 2026, ongoing Russian military advances in Ukraine, and crackdowns on dissent—like the March psychiatric commitment of a pro-Kremlin critic—reinforce his unchallenged control, absent any snap elections, no-confidence mechanisms, or institutional pressures. While unverified health rumors persist, no credible developments signal resignation, coup, or incapacitation; low-probability scenarios such as sudden illness, elite revolt, or assassination could still alter outcomes before resolution.",
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