
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
putin-out-before-2027
Volume
3.4M
24h volume
55.1K
1w volume
256.9K
Open interest
1.6M
Liquidity
339.7K
Liquidity CLOB
339.7K
Start
Jul 6, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 6, 2025
Event ID
31195
Slug
putin-out-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "31195",
"ticker": "putin-out-before-2027",
"slug": "putin-out-before-2027",
"title": "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-07-06T22:31:26.266096Z",
"creationDate": "2025-07-06T22:31:26.266093Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T18:30:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 339730.0121,
"volume": 3400301.918454976,
"openInterest": 1616696.880669,
"createdBy": "586470",
"createdAt": "2025-07-06T18:19:57.8735Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T21:04:39.686068Z",
"competitive": 0.865033195648883,
"volume24hr": 55123.256466,
"volume1wk": 256937.33555200096,
"volume1mo": 878363.2976900018,
"volume1yr": 3400301.9184550173,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 339730.0121,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "560317",
"question": "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",
"slug": "putin-out-before-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T18:30:00Z",
"liquidity": "339730.0121",
"startDate": "2025-07-06T22:30:10.584Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-in-2025-nWuurkC8qfbi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",
"volume": "3400301.918454976",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "0x95bc3b1bd9E0a76faD6F8B177187A32360A78b32",
"createdAt": "2025-07-06T18:19:59.120869Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-31T20:48:14.932782Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xbf59355e8ace912df7a031dc358fcd8b2fd69127a629d4661e99839d6ee12c46",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 3400301.918454976,
"liquidityNum": 339730.0121,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-07-06",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 55123.256466,
"volume1wk": 256937.33555200096,
"volume1mo": 878363.2976900018,
"volume1yr": 3400301.9184550173,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"350977769852917329387037893294763093471844346281449484439085576212613048126\", \"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 55123.256466,
"volume1wkClob": 256937.33555200096,
"volume1moClob": 878363.2976900018,
"volume1yrClob": 3400301.9184550173,
"volumeClob": 3400301.918454976,
"liquidityClob": 339730.0121,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-06T22:29:45Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.865033195648883,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "28241",
"conditionId": "0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2025-07-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.1,
"bestBid": 0.1,
"bestAsk": 0.11,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-06T22:29:12.188343Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": true,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10521",
"ticker": "putin-out-as-president",
"slug": "putin-out-as-president",
"title": "Putin out as President",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "annual",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-11-04T19:17:18.524878Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T21:04:47.622996Z",
"volume24hr": 58866.260196999996,
"volume": 4464671.363789977,
"liquidity": 418758.97508,
"commentCount": 203,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "270",
"label": "putin",
"slug": "putin",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:46:19.507+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:46:19.528Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:44.08742Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "96",
"label": "Ukraine",
"slug": "ukraine",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:22.039982Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "95",
"label": "Russia",
"slug": "russia",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.314+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.32Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-20T20:00:25.617627Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102458",
"label": "Earn 4%",
"slug": "earn-4",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-08-01T13:31:11.928744Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.229917Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": true,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "putin-out-as-president",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as Russian president extends to 2030, secured by 2024 amendments and his re-election with overwhelming official support, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his early exit by year-end 2026. No verified official actions, resignations, or internal challenges have emerged in recent months to suggest departure, despite recurring unsubstantiated health rumors—including a March 2026 coughing video that sparked brief speculation but yielded no confirmed medical issues or leadership shifts. Putin continues public duties and long-term planning, such as the December 2025 healthcare strategy through 2030, underscoring regime stability amid suppressed opposition and elite loyalty. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or no-confidence dynamics remain low-probability outliers given historical precedents of continuity.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T21:02:08.962Z"
}
}- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Vol 3.4MLiq 339.7KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book