Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

putin-out-before-2027

Volume

3.4M

24h volume

55.1K

1w volume

256.9K

Open interest

1.6M

Liquidity

339.7K

Liquidity CLOB

339.7K

Start

Jul 6, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 6, 2025

Event ID

31195

Slug

putin-out-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "putin-out-before-2027",
  "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?",
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  "startDate": "2025-07-06T22:31:26.266096Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-07-06T22:31:26.266093Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T18:30:00Z",
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  "createdBy": "586470",
  "createdAt": "2025-07-06T18:19:57.8735Z",
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      "id": "10521",
      "ticker": "putin-out-as-president",
      "slug": "putin-out-as-president",
      "title": "Putin out as President",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
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      "createdAt": "2025-11-04T19:17:18.524878Z",
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  "tags": [
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      "label": "putin",
      "slug": "putin",
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:46:19.507+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:46:19.528Z",
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      "label": "Geopolitics",
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      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
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      "id": "96",
      "label": "Ukraine",
      "slug": "ukraine",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00",
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      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:22.039982Z",
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      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
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    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
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      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
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      "id": "95",
      "label": "Russia",
      "slug": "russia",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.314+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.32Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as Russian president extends to 2030, secured by 2024 amendments and his re-election with overwhelming official support, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his early exit by year-end 2026. No verified official actions, resignations, or internal challenges have emerged in recent months to suggest departure, despite recurring unsubstantiated health rumors—including a March 2026 coughing video that sparked brief speculation but yielded no confirmed medical issues or leadership shifts. Putin continues public duties and long-term planning, such as the December 2025 healthcare strategy through 2030, underscoring regime stability amid suppressed opposition and elite loyalty. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or no-confidence dynamics remain low-probability outliers given historical precedents of continuity.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T21:02:08.962Z"
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}