Will any country leave NATO by...?

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    "context_description": "President Trump's recent threats to withdraw the United States from NATO—stemming from allies' refusal to join U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions—have fueled short-term speculation over the past week, yet trader consensus reflects slim odds due to formidable legal barriers. A 2024 law requires a two-thirds Senate majority or congressional act for U.S. exit, with no such process underway. No NATO member has ever invoked Article 13's one-year withdrawal clause since 1949, and marginal calls like Spain's Irene Montero urging departure lack institutional traction. Upcoming NATO summits and potential congressional hearings could shift dynamics, but historical precedent favors alliance stability through 2026.",
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