Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

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    "context_description": "**Trader consensus reflects Europe's firm reluctance to launch offensive strikes on Iran amid the ongoing US-Israeli military campaign, with France, the UK, and Germany prioritizing diplomacy and sanctions over escalation.** Joint statements from their leaders since early March have condemned Iranian attacks on regional allies and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz but emphasized de-escalation, refusing US requests for bases or airspace to target Iranian infrastructure like power plants. Recent developments, including a UK-led coalition of over 40 nations on April 2 pressing for Hormuz reopening and EU warnings against illegal bombings, underscore defensive aid to Gulf partners rather than direct airstrikes. Absent a major Iranian provocation against Europe, such as attacks on NATO soil, the odds imply low risk of involvement by June 30. (112 words)",
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