Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus leans heavily against George R.R. Martin announcing The Winds of Winter in 2026, with \"No\" at an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent delays and stalled progress amid distractions from TV projects. Recent February 2026 Not A Blog entries highlighted stage adaptations and A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms filming but offered no book updates, while March reports confirmed no new pages since 2022 despite 1,100 drafted. A January interview acknowledged Winds as priority yet admitted mood swings and competing Dunk & Egg novellas plus Fire & Blood 2. Fifteen years post-A Dance with Dragons, Martin's age and historical overpromises fuel doubt, though a sudden blog reveal remains a slim upset catalyst before year-end.",
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