Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.

Ticker

will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026

Volume

2.3M

24h volume

6.7K

1w volume

292.0K

Open interest

584.1K

Liquidity

59.2K

Liquidity CLOB

59.2K

Start

Jan 9, 2026

End

Jan 1, 2027

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 9, 2026

Event ID

153719

Slug

will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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