Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Featured

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027

Volume

24.0M

24h volume

79.6K

1w volume

1.5M

Open interest

5.6M

Liquidity

733.4K

Liquidity CLOB

733.4K

Start

Nov 25, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 25, 2025

Event ID

90177

Slug

will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027

Markets

2

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?",
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      "id": "74",
      "label": "Science",
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    {
      "id": "71",
      "label": "Aliens",
      "slug": "aliens",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:18.133+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader sentiment remains anchored in profound skepticism for US confirmation of extraterrestrial life, with no official government statement despite intensified cultural buzz from recent congressional probes and viral speculation. The House Oversight Task Force's ongoing UAP transparency investigation, including Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's push for declassification just days ago, alongside AARO's March workshop on anomaly research and the FY2026 NDAA-mandated Pentagon briefings, underscores mounting pressure without breakthrough evidence. Rumors of Trump-ordered UFO file releases post-Obama remarks and an \"aliens.gov\" domain registration fuel pop culture hype but lack verification. Traders should monitor imminent hearings, AARO reports, and the UAP Transparency Act's progress for potential catalysts.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T21:16:39.470Z"
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