Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Frank Ilett (theunitedstrand) gets a haircut after Manchester United has won five consecutive competitive games by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a draw or loss resets the consecutive win counter. Unbeaten streaks are not included. The haircut must occur after the fifth consecutive win has been completed. A “haircut” refers to a clearly visible and noticeable shortening to his hair, small adjustments of an inch or two will not qualify unless they are a clear result of a haircut. Taking a little snip or minor trim on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial haircut that noticeably changes his appearance from the long hair style he's maintained. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-theunitedstrand-get-a-haircut-by-2025-26-season-end

Volume

97.0K

24h volume

2.9K

1w volume

7.0K

Open interest

27.7K

Liquidity

30.7K

Liquidity CLOB

30.7K

Start

Feb 4, 2026

End

May 25, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 4, 2026

Event ID

198506

Slug

will-theunitedstrand-get-a-haircut-by-2025-26-season-end

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?",
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    {
      "id": "47",
      "creatorName": "The United Strand",
      "creatorHandle": "theunitedstrand",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors \"No\" at 95.5% implied probability for TheUnitedStrand receiving a haircut by the 2025-26 Premier League season end, driven by Manchester United's failure to achieve five consecutive competitive wins—the explicit trigger for Frank Ilett's (@TheUnitedStrand) longstanding pledge since his last trim on October 5, 2024. Now on day 548 with daily video updates confirming untouched locks and United's current streak at 0/5, recent setbacks like the March defeat to Newcastle ending an 11-game unbeaten run underscore their inconsistency despite a solid third-place standing (15-10-6 after 31 matches). With fewer than eight fixtures remaining amid a demanding schedule, traders see negligible upset potential barring an unforeseen surge from key players like Bruno Fernandes, though Ilett's ironclad commitment minimizes voluntary deviation risks.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T20:42:28.677Z"
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