Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

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    "context_description": "Kuomintang (KMT) chairperson Cheng Li-wun's acceptance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's invitation for a mainland China visit, starting April 8 and spanning Shanghai and Beijing, has driven trader consensus to a 98.2% implied probability of an in-person meeting by June 30. This marks the first such trip by a sitting KMT leader in a decade, signaling Beijing's diplomatic outreach amid cross-strait tensions and ahead of potential U.S.-China summits. Official announcements and media reports confirm expectations of high-level talks focused on peace and reunification messaging. While near-certain, outcomes could shift due to health issues, domestic Taiwanese backlash, or sudden escalations in military posturing.",
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