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Elon Musk # tweets April 18 - April 20, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 18 12:00 PM ET to April 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-18-april-20
Volume
2.5M
24h volume
612.7K
1w volume
1.8M
Open interest
392.1K
Liquidity
58.9K
Liquidity CLOB
58.9K
Start
Apr 16, 2026
End
Apr 20, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 16, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
385678
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-18-april-20
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-04-18 16:00:00+00",
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"slug": "elon-tweets-48h",
"title": "Elon Tweets 48H",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
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{
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"updatedBy": 13,
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
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},
{
"id": "972",
"label": "Tweet Markets",
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},
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:32:10.143015Z",
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],
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"enableNegRisk": true,
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 18-20, driven by the period's close on Sunday and public verification via transparent tracking tools like X data scrapers, confirming the exact tally amid his characteristically variable posting rhythm. Recent weeks saw Musk dial back from peaks of 100+ daily posts during election fervor and Tesla announcements, averaging closer to 30-50 amid quieter weekends, aligning perfectly with this bin and solidifying the frontrunner. While resolution appears certain based on immutable post history, an upset could stem from oracle disputes over counting replies, quotes, or deletions—though such reversals are rare in these high-volume social media markets.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T10:47:53.213Z"
}
}- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Vol 461.5KLiq 59.0KEnd Apr 20, 2026OpenOrder book
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