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Elon Musk # tweets April 20 - April 22, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 20 12:00 PM ET to April 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-20-april-22
Volume
422.3K
24h volume
258.9K
1w volume
422.3K
Open interest
149.6K
Liquidity
243.8K
Liquidity CLOB
243.8K
Start
Apr 18, 2026
End
Apr 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 18, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
392539
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-20-april-22
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from April 20-22, 2026, at 65.5% implied probability, driven by his recent moderate pace of around 20-25 posts per day without major catalysts spiking volume. XTracker data shows 218 total posts over April 14-21 (daily average 31), but the current window logged just 16 midway through as of April 21 morning ET, aligning with quieter periods absent controversies or launches—despite a SpaceX GPS III satellite liftoff sparking a few engagements today. The prior three-day market (April 18-20) resolved in the same 40-64 bracket, reinforcing this trajectory. Absent viral political commentary or Tesla announcements, higher brackets like 65-89 (16%) face barriers, though tomorrow's close leaves room for late surges in Musk's signature rapid-fire style.",
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}- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 42.9KLiq 9.2KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 39.4KLiq 9.2KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 103.1KLiq 11.1KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 24.5KLiq 9.7KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 27.7KLiq 10.7KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 30.2KLiq 27.2KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 74.5KLiq 40.3KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 29.5KLiq 42.1KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 26.2KLiq 41.6KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Vol 25.5KLiq 43.3KEnd Apr 22, 2026OpenOrder book