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Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-24-may-1
Volume
471.4K
24h volume
471.4K
1w volume
471.4K
Open interest
128.8K
Liquidity
1.4M
Liquidity CLOB
1.4M
Start
Apr 21, 2026
End
May 1, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 21, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
401636
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-24-may-1
Markets
30
Raw event data
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 220-299 times on X during April 24-May 1 at roughly equal implied probabilities around 14-16%, mirroring his consistent recent pace of 29 posts per day excluding replies, as tallied in the prior week (April 14-21: 202 total). This tight clustering stems from steady historical posting frequency amid variable daily highs (e.g., 63 on April 20) and lows, with no major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as Tesla or SpaceX announcements—to shift volume significantly. Separation could arise from upcoming events like Starship tests, xAI updates, or high-engagement policy debates, potentially boosting output above 300 or dropping below 220 if travel or downtime intervenes.",
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}
}- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Vol 3.0KLiq 35.3KEnd May 1, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Vol 62.9KLiq 68.9KEnd May 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Vol 55.1KLiq 43.5KEnd May 1, 2026OpenOrder book
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