Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?

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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15?",
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      "ticker": "hong-kong-daily-weather",
      "slug": "hong-kong-daily-weather",
      "title": "Hong Kong Daily Weather",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:28:28.912197Z",
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      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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      "label": "Highest temperature",
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    "context_description": "The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of a maximum air temperature of 28.7°C at its station on April 15, 2026—recorded amid sunny intervals and a southerly airstream—solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, following an exceptionally warm March and early spring highs around 28–29°C in many areas. Model consensus and historical April averages (around 27°C) supported such positioning pre-event, with odds shifting decisively after real-time observations confirmed the peak below 29°C. Realistic challenges are negligible post-verification, barring rare data revisions from instrument checks, as HKO readings are highly reliable standards.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-16T06:34:52.869Z"
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