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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 17?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-17-2026
Volume
373.5K
24h volume
167.9K
1w volume
373.5K
Open interest
148.5K
Liquidity
86.3K
Liquidity CLOB
86.3K
Start
Apr 15, 2026
End
Apr 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 15, 2026
Event ID
380636
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-17-2026
Markets
11
Raw event data
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-17-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "8502.618416000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"startDateIso": "2026-04-15",
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{
"id": "1988518",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 17?",
"conditionId": "0xf358cfb2116200af7242b4975a925a8671288000451e0cf3e0b46f4d93617a3f",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 17?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?",
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{
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"context_description": "Hong Kong Observatory's official daily weather summary confirms the highest air temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 28.0°C at the King's Park reference station amid sunny periods and southerly winds, aligning with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April-June. This precise observational data from the primary monitoring site has driven trader consensus to a 99.8% implied probability for 28°C, reflecting the market's skin-in-the-game assessment of verified measurements over preliminary forecasts. While post hoc data revisions are exceedingly rare—typically only for instrument errors or quality control issues—any challenge would require an official HKO correction confirming a higher peak elsewhere, though current regional readings show no such outliers.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?Vol 123.1KLiq 8.1KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 17?Vol 29.6KLiq 9.9KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 17?Vol 16.7KLiq 5.9KEnd Apr 17, 2026OpenOrder book
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