
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026
Volume
444.8K
24h volume
337.0K
1w volume
444.8K
Open interest
150.5K
Liquidity
257.2K
Liquidity CLOB
257.2K
Start
Apr 23, 2026
End
Apr 25, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 23, 2026
Event ID
408592
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026
Markets
11
Tags
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"id": "408592",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 25?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"creationDate": "2026-04-23T04:49:11.868359Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
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"volume": 444789.80883499974,
"openInterest": 150533.839067,
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:04:40.639941Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:22:05.602898Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2057060",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 25?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemTitle": "19°C or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"volumeNum": 7117.416000000001,
"liquidityNum": 23546.70604,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2084.77,
"volume1wk": 7117.415999999999,
"volume1mo": 7117.415999999999,
"volume1yr": 7117.415999999999,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-24 16:00:00+00",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0xb2155e70f2e91cf75a1a9d4c9b2cde0ee4cdd89d29c0316476e7f5a96ae13bf4",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026-20c",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "26605.77326",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:43:02.238775Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "9998.560892000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:04:40.934328Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:19:28.008584Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "20°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x3bb9b23a1dfbf3218daf993a24736163549aa2b762ffc36c52211e2db3d64e01",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 9998.560892000001,
"liquidityNum": 26605.77326,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 250.11999999999998,
"volume1wk": 9998.560892,
"volume1mo": 9998.560892,
"volume1yr": 9998.560892,
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"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 250.11999999999998,
"volume1wkClob": 9998.560892,
"volume1moClob": 9998.560892,
"volume1yrClob": 9998.560892,
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"liquidityClob": 26605.77326,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"ready": false,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-23T04:41:42Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8003199679231757,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-23T04:07:23.696467Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "weather_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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"rate": 0.05,
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"rebateRate": 0.25
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},
{
"id": "2057062",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0xda56854b687e14a56f84364503ffa0435ce44f9136cc356952015d7b1b0103f0",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026-21c",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "28080.70835",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:43:02.493807Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "10552.073955",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:04:41.088721Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemTitle": "21°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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"volume1wk": 10552.073954999998,
"volume1mo": 10552.073954999998,
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"gameStartTime": "2026-04-24 16:00:00+00",
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"volume1wkClob": 10552.073954999998,
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"volume1yrClob": 10552.073954999998,
"volumeClob": 10552.073955,
"liquidityClob": 28080.70835,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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{
"id": "2057063",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0xe2d49c57f8560a61611d7b31fe85389d416d331a3cb5aad8df43fb97eb09cacb",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026-22c",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "27248.5107",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:43:04.329999Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "12776.763331",
"active": true,
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},
{
"id": "2057064",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0xb454c05d5a943bd4e3537d75b0ab0ad6243c9499fd4780268e7e3910ffe5bb00",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-april-25-2026-23c",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "28952.3347",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:43:15.62206Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "29435.51877599998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:04:41.395458Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-26T01:19:35.078194Z",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 25?",
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"ticker": "hong-kong-daily-weather",
"slug": "hong-kong-daily-weather",
"title": "Hong Kong Daily Weather",
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{
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"context_description": "Hong Kong Observatory's official observations through late afternoon on April 25, 2026, recorded the day's highest air temperature at 26°C—measured at the Observatory and corroborated at King's Park station—driving trader consensus to a 99.7% implied probability for this outcome amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event forecasts projecting maxima around 25–26°C under lingering northeast monsoon influences and typical April climatology, where daily highs average 26–27°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require an unreported late-evening spike or rare data revision from HKO's final daily summary, expected shortly; otherwise, resolution appears imminent with minimal uncertainty.",
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}