
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026
Volume
483.1K
24h volume
407.2K
1w volume
464.7K
Open interest
68.1K
Liquidity
—
Start
Apr 14, 2026
End
Apr 16, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 14, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Event ID
379791
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026
Markets
11
Tags
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"id": "379791",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"creationDate": "2026-04-14T22:18:26.261709Z",
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"markets": [
{
"id": "1985885",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 16?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "77°F or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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{
"id": "1985886",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 16?",
"conditionId": "0x9c467ca366d6e376170cb6fe01df3d0a426c0753344397dde921d9725e198b1d",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026-78-79f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-16T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-14T22:13:15.915546Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "6777.576172",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-14T22:03:58.697942Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T06:04:55.760497Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-16 07:25:02+00",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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{
"id": "1985887",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 16?",
"conditionId": "0x795ecc141d3afc9c06be93240c38ac53a4a9093ed90d752deef249ac2944b059",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026-80-81f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-16T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-14T22:13:23.932496Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1985888",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16?",
"conditionId": "0x279a5be379cd5a0bb75b7ae7fac1517924a60de9ee982897d9d71f6e1f2fb3df",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026-82-83f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-16T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-14T22:13:31.851939Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
"id": "1985889",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?",
"conditionId": "0x0d415980916c8c6f93fce9c39ddc6bbfe5cbe469e47ef4345fdce822c57c4c09",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-16-2026-84-85f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-16T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-14T22:13:36.860533Z",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16?",
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"context_description": "National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.",
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