
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026
Volume
435.2K
24h volume
361.6K
1w volume
435.2K
Open interest
124.1K
Liquidity
133.0K
Liquidity CLOB
133.0K
Start
Apr 16, 2026
End
Apr 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 16, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
Event ID
384019
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026
Markets
11
Tags
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"id": "384019",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"startDate": "2026-04-16T06:17:40.274664Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-16T06:17:40.274647Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
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"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 132965.77312,
"volume": 435162.93662799994,
"openInterest": 124085.81552000002,
"createdAt": "2026-04-16T04:03:50.946223Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-19T04:20:14.624487Z",
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"negRiskMarketID": "0x2d772766a64543ef2c55be6222529e65803cefca8aa2bdb62d20aad0b8bbb000",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1996366",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on April 18?",
"conditionId": "0x9001dfc2cef500c4a9999e0e2ab7b44530b0f65379f0f229f88789e470cbd175",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026-53forbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-16T04:03:51.046859Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-19T04:18:26.38282Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-18 07:13:44+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "53°F or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"volume1mo": 12480.436509,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0025,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-16T04:56:06.516384Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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"feesEnabled": true,
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{
"id": "1996367",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 18?",
"conditionId": "0x5257f61015d48a94c972254b901284575c1d1ac40630c0db9bf9f5dd9f0a10de",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026-54-55f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-16T06:07:52.082077Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "36625.5408",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-16T04:03:51.153376Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-19T04:18:26.5711Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-18 20:09:42+00",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemTitle": "54-55°F",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-18",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-16",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-04-18 04:00:00+00",
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"umaReward": "5",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"spread": 0.001,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-16T04:56:06.52085Z",
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{
"id": "1996368",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18?",
"conditionId": "0xf9b7d23a0b527aced48dec610033b20b52531c011ff0270cb44dd01f1ee0845f",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026-56-57f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-16T06:12:59.028446Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "67655.07755099994",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-16T04:03:51.262394Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-19T04:18:23.876153Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-18 20:29:18+00",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "56-57°F",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 67655.07755099994,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-18",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-16",
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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{
"id": "1996369",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?",
"conditionId": "0x9ce5468ca0523a67452a741fdf42e4d35d8eec3f5be8d23a4767360fdbde7727",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-18-2026-58-59f",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA",
"endDate": "2026-04-18T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-16T05:55:09.479161Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/test-nyc-weather-pciture-cgUEW73XBkei.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "69750.82542900003",
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"createdAt": "2026-04-16T04:03:51.369911Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"spread": 0.001,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 18?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18?",
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"ticker": "nyc-daily-weather",
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"title": "NYC Daily Weather",
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{
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"label": "Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50",
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"eventDate": "2026-04-18",
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"context_description": "Official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the market's designated source via Weather Underground, recorded a high temperature of 61°F in New York City on April 18, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome. This followed an anomalous early-April heat wave peaking at 90°F in Central Park on April 15, but a cold front ushered in cooler maritime air, northeast winds up to 17 mph, and seasonal norms with no precipitation. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated this cooldown, aligning with climatological April averages around 60°F. Scenarios challenging resolution—such as rare post hoc data corrections by the National Weather Service—remain improbable given verified hourly records.",
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