
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026
Volume
403.3K
24h volume
305.2K
1w volume
403.3K
Open interest
82.2K
Liquidity
77.9K
Liquidity CLOB
77.9K
Start
Apr 21, 2026
End
Apr 23, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 21, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
401671
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026
Markets
11
Tags
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"id": "401671",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 23?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"startDate": "2026-04-21T05:13:12.802944Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-21T05:13:12.80293Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-23T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
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"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 77870.51952,
"volume": 403295.34862,
"openInterest": 82213.111529,
"createdAt": "2026-04-21T04:03:39.916181Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-23T14:37:56.425866Z",
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"volume1mo": 403295.3486199999,
"volume1yr": 403295.3486199999,
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"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xe3fd81fa638594d4e031163ae456d3d7b4df8881e9bdb11b47790fcaf8d86600",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2040217",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 23?",
"conditionId": "0x644dc96a45cc21e57928b31123f91d6e366078fba74b4d11a7a5a4725bb06505",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026-13corbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-21T05:04:03.567508Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "12741.412510999999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-21T04:03:40.016487Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-23T14:35:20.80466Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-23 02:06:40+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "13°C or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"umaEndDate": "2026-04-23T02:06:40Z",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-23",
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"volume24hr": 2544.019,
"volume1wk": 12741.412511,
"volume1mo": 12741.412511,
"volume1yr": 12741.412511,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-22 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2544.019,
"volume1wkClob": 12741.412511,
"volume1moClob": 12741.412511,
"volume1yrClob": 12741.412511,
"volumeClob": 12741.412510999999,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
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"ready": false,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-21T05:02:44Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-21T04:28:41.031875Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "weather_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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"rate": 0.05,
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},
{
"id": "2040218",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 23?",
"conditionId": "0xf9cc956090465fe76a315937364441e860681f13af97bce8af3ed1847f0f66f1",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026-14c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-21T05:04:10.167733Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "10948.440895000002",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-21T04:03:40.124828Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-23T14:35:24.10044Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-23 04:01:06+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "14°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xe3fd81fa638594d4e031163ae456d3d7b4df8881e9bdb11b47790fcaf8d86601",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-23T04:01:06Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 10948.440895000002,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-21",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 3384.904,
"volume1wk": 10948.440895,
"volume1mo": 10948.440895,
"volume1yr": 10948.440895,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-22 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 3384.904,
"volume1wkClob": 10948.440895,
"volume1moClob": 10948.440895,
"volume1yrClob": 10948.440895,
"volumeClob": 10948.440895000002,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xe3fd81fa638594d4e031163ae456d3d7b4df8881e9bdb11b47790fcaf8d86600",
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"ready": false,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-21T05:02:50Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-21T04:28:41.051265Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "weather_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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},
{
"id": "2040219",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 23?",
"conditionId": "0x20a13a8868deef1b81edab30a79342fbbfeae945f875185d0f94cae79ca079e5",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026-15c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-21T05:04:10.42299Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "11880.711144999996",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-21T04:03:40.236313Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-23T14:35:25.947643Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-23 04:30:20+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "15°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xe3fd81fa638594d4e031163ae456d3d7b4df8881e9bdb11b47790fcaf8d86602",
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"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 11880.711144999996,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-21",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 5156.603,
"volume1wk": 11880.711145,
"volume1mo": 11880.711145,
"volume1yr": 11880.711145,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-22 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
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"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-21T04:28:41.084834Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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},
{
"id": "2040220",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 23?",
"conditionId": "0x51e9686d4a46fdd5d818ef3b322a13311ec561c3950b5a339c9db2f48163976b",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-23-2026-16c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-23T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-21T05:04:13.820427Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"volume": "22259.67003300001",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-21T04:03:40.343845Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-23T14:35:23.687549Z",
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"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
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"groupItemThreshold": "3",
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"volumeNum": 22259.67003300001,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-21",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 7668.279379,
"volume1wk": 22259.670033000002,
"volume1mo": 22259.670033000002,
"volume1yr": 22259.670033000002,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-22 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"volumeClob": 22259.67003300001,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-21T05:02:54Z",
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"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.007,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-21T04:28:41.102937Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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},
{
"id": "2040221",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?",
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"label": "Highest temperature",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Seoul's highest temperature on April 23, 2026, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at the resolving Incheon International Airport station, where hourly readings peaked at 22°C around midday under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Current late-afternoon temperatures have fallen to 16–18°C as solar insolation diminishes toward sunset near 19:15 KST, aligning with the typical diurnal cycle for mid-spring in the region, where April highs average 18°C historically. This positioning reflects real-time data certainty, with final KMA daily maximum confirmation expected shortly after midnight UTC. Realistic challenges are minimal—a rare post-sunset data revision or instrument anomaly—but absent new evidence, probabilities remain locked.",
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