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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 25?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026
Volume
498.8K
24h volume
396.0K
1w volume
498.8K
Open interest
92.9K
Liquidity
19.4K
Liquidity CLOB
19.4K
Start
Apr 23, 2026
End
Apr 25, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 23, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
408578
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026
Markets
11
Tags
Raw event data
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"id": "408578",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 25?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T05:02:08.248014Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-23T05:02:08.247996Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"active": true,
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"new": false,
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"liquidity": 19444.08466,
"volume": 498763.9071080001,
"openInterest": 92896.323852,
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:03:39.652142Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-25T09:06:43.987159Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2056906",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0x0f44e6ae12f07ed0e90eaa08ecced2bb515f2afc20dc2c555d681c4b6061e780",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026-11corbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"closedTime": "2026-04-25 00:49:10+00",
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "11°C or below",
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"volume1mo": 6724.918,
"volume1yr": 6724.918,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-24 15:00:00+00",
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 3000,
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"volume1moClob": 6724.918,
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"volumeClob": 6724.918,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
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"spread": 0.001,
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{
"id": "2056907",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0xb64521719c2d02c995ce77e184b123793e1ec57db56d697748aff070910d5520",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026-12c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:57:17.79241Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "18017.080833000004",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:03:39.865698Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-25T09:06:38.078839Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-25 01:01:22+00",
"new": false,
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"gameStartTime": "2026-04-24 15:00:00+00",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
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"ready": false,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-23T04:55:58Z",
"cyom": false,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-23T04:07:21.842002Z",
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{
"id": "2056908",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0x50646bd7fa0552e2cb61b47b654bb428ca8443ed2bbaadbaadf8ad19631aaab7",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-25-2026-13c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:57:19.825977Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-23T04:03:39.976573Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-25T09:06:35.987068Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-25 01:54:04+00",
"new": false,
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"volumeNum": 12311.588095999998,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-23",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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{
"id": "2056909",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?",
"conditionId": "0x8c2a1f633519c049a96fe168b4ee07d9f96b5ca0ffee0605ed91cd7689a04bb9",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-25T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-23T04:57:29.228026Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
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"updatedAt": "2026-04-25T09:06:31.873987Z",
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"groupItemThreshold": "3",
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"volumeNum": 14570.553568000001,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 7625.543641,
"volume1wk": 14570.553567999998,
"volume1mo": 14570.553567999998,
"volume1yr": 14570.553567999998,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-24 15:00:00+00",
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"umaBond": "500",
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"volumeClob": 14570.553568000001,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"automaticallyResolved": true,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?",
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{
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?",
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts, updated early on April 25, project Seoul's daytime high precisely at 20°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and just 10% precipitation odds, which cap solar heating from morning lows near 11°C. This aligns with late-April climatological norms averaging 18–19°C and recent observations at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—showing no exceptional warming. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for 20°C reflects this robust model agreement backed by real-time data. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon insolation or a sudden southerly wind shift pushing peaks to 21°C or higher, with next KMA updates and hourly records key to monitor before resolution.",
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}- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?Vol 126.2KLiq 13.5KEnd Apr 25, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?Vol 151.1KLiq 6.7KEnd Apr 25, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?Vol 55.5KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?Vol 37.9KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?Vol 35.2KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 25?Vol 25.1KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 25?Vol 18.0KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 25?Vol 17.3KLiq 0End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?Vol 14.6KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 25?Vol 12.3KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 25?Vol 6.7KLiq —End Apr 25, 2026Closed