
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026
Volume
501.6K
24h volume
425.6K
1w volume
501.6K
Open interest
179.7K
Liquidity
36.0K
Liquidity CLOB
36.0K
Start
Apr 25, 2026
End
Apr 27, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 25, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
415449
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026
Markets
11
Tags
{
"id": "415449",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 27?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"startDate": "2026-04-25T04:52:27.282388Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-25T04:52:27.282363Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-27T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 35998.89472,
"volume": 501613.57237899996,
"openInterest": 179659.50978300002,
"createdAt": "2026-04-25T04:03:39.637241Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T12:10:53.239671Z",
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"volume1wk": 501613.57237899996,
"volume1mo": 501613.57237899996,
"volume1yr": 501613.57237899996,
"enableOrderBook": true,
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"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x24bc0543ff1712094e8693ed6fdbced82a63b7c017dfc47c6104d551131a0200",
"commentCount": 1,
"markets": [
{
"id": "2074306",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?",
"conditionId": "0x9f64ede5b10d2d671be026da4018ea4a99de48aac77bca04e12000b04bcaeb3d",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026-13corbelow",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-25T04:46:07.555676Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "25406.809877999993",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-25T04:03:39.739419Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T12:07:33.7237Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-27 00:49:48+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "13°C or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x24bc0543ff1712094e8693ed6fdbced82a63b7c017dfc47c6104d551131a0200",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-27T00:49:48Z",
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"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
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"volumeNum": 25406.809877999993,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-27",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-25",
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"volume24hr": 10750.867864,
"volume1wk": 25406.809877999996,
"volume1mo": 25406.809877999996,
"volume1yr": 25406.809877999996,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-26 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 10750.867864,
"volume1wkClob": 25406.809877999996,
"volume1moClob": 25406.809877999996,
"volume1yrClob": 25406.809877999996,
"volumeClob": 25406.809877999993,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:44:48Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:21:12.470604Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "weather_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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"rate": 0.05,
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},
{
"id": "2074307",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?",
"conditionId": "0x13f5efee8be09293b465426c18d0687e25e227038d88fac5b9ed662466755293",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026-14c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-25T04:46:09.532379Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "15395.904449999996",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-25T04:03:39.847618Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T12:07:33.328949Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-27 01:01:30+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "14°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x24bc0543ff1712094e8693ed6fdbced82a63b7c017dfc47c6104d551131a0201",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-27T01:01:30Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 15395.904449999996,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-27",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 8471.468615999998,
"volume1wk": 15395.90445,
"volume1mo": 15395.90445,
"volume1yr": 15395.90445,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-26 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"62297472820121776571809229472342471832912224039231066535273477316013833819769\", \"93482234212923405764146586839470446236940682701821353605496856708168323041639\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 8471.468615999998,
"volume1wkClob": 15395.90445,
"volume1moClob": 15395.90445,
"volume1yrClob": 15395.90445,
"volumeClob": 15395.904449999996,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x24bc0543ff1712094e8693ed6fdbced82a63b7c017dfc47c6104d551131a0200",
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"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:44:50Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.004,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:21:12.479402Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "weather_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
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"rate": 0.05,
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},
{
"id": "2074308",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?",
"conditionId": "0xbc1b166527975c8ec245d22e8d6dc2842ce770e73e21371bee64121942485334",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026-15c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-25T04:46:11.637556Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "20008.156328",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-25T04:03:39.956212Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T12:07:26.599539Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-27 01:31:28+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "15°C",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 20008.156328,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-27",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 12993.772309000002,
"volume1wk": 20008.156327999997,
"volume1mo": 20008.156327999997,
"volume1yr": 20008.156327999997,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-26 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"cyom": false,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
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"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:21:12.481926Z",
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},
{
"id": "2074309",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?",
"conditionId": "0x56bb85e413f7e6aa3456af0e9a576de48642d4ff3fd0252a8eb6fd2d36e5a026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-27-2026-16c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-27T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-25T04:46:44.11908Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-25T04:03:40.062019Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-27T12:07:31.536629Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-27 03:13:06+00",
"new": false,
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"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemThreshold": "3",
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"volumeNum": 16368.274350999996,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-27",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-25",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 9741.58118,
"volume1wk": 16368.274351000004,
"volume1mo": 16368.274351000004,
"volume1yr": 16368.274351000004,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-26 15:00:00+00",
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"volumeClob": 16368.274350999996,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:45:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
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"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
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"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-25T04:21:12.484642Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?",
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{
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{
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"label": "Highest temperature",
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration observations through late afternoon on April 27, 2026, confirm Seoul's highest temperature peaked at 19°C amid post-frontal cooling from northwesterly flows following mid-April's record 29.4°C heat, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. Clear to partly cloudy skies allowed a standard diurnal cycle with mid-afternoon maximum under light southerly winds, now transitioning to evening decline as solar insolation wanes. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting moderated highs around 18-20°C. Realistic challenges—a rare late-day adiabatic warming spike from downslope effects or measurement revision at the resolving Incheon International Airport station (RKSI)—remain improbable below 0.1% per historical spring patterns, with final KMA data expected post-midnight.",
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