Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 20?

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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 20?",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-18T04:56:24Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
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    {
      "id": "2011261",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?",
      "conditionId": "0xdc4f735a08ff58c399a76902a44f32f8d6318da28ba51362143e5d64804ba43b",
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    {
      "id": "2011262",
      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?",
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    {
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      "question": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?",
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      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
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      "groupItemTitle": "20°C",
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      "endDateIso": "2026-04-20",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-18",
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      "label": "Weather",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:17:34.81+00",
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      "label": "Daily Temperature",
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  "eventDate": "2026-04-20",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 19°C on April 20, 2026, driven by official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Xujiahui stations recording peak readings of 19°C mid-afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds around 13 mph that capped daytime heating. Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, projected highs tightly clustered at 19–20°C, matching historical April averages near 19°C under similar overcast conditions with moderate UV index. Current evening temperatures have dropped to 17°C with increasing cloudiness, minimizing further warming potential before sunset. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies and stronger solar insolation, though barometric stability at 30 inHg and 25% precipitation risk make this improbable. Official daily summaries expected shortly will confirm resolution.",
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