Loading event…
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting
Volume
803.2K
24h volume
725.1K
1w volume
748.0K
Open interest
383.0K
Liquidity
—
Start
Mar 20, 2026
End
Apr 29, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Event ID
287482
Slug
how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-113
Markets
5
Raw event data
{
"id": "287482",
"ticker": "how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting",
"slug": "how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-113",
"title": "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:15:55.394945Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-20T00:15:55.394931Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"volume": 803207.0114640003,
"openInterest": 383004.14856600005,
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:16.549759Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:02:01.628999Z",
"volume24hr": 725065.6597710002,
"volume1wk": 747982.9794600002,
"volume1mo": 793414.3825390002,
"volume1yr": 803207.0114640002,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1655328",
"question": "Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?",
"conditionId": "0x918a4bdc19b7c88f38588ee596bf6085e15c2b9ad527c02370ced75e5adde1eb",
"slug": "will-no-one-dissent-the-april-fed-decision",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:14:50.674245Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "18118.631893",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:18.036894Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:01:32.663312Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-29 22:00:38+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "0",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-29T22:00:38Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 18118.631893,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 7385.782340000001,
"volume1wk": 11720.862976000002,
"volume1mo": 14994.353997000004,
"volume1yr": 18118.631893,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"81070523985171522105110150378405965493580485282490488019446861197728597460718\", \"106940445919457557814363540546359102324910316605030234691678186792864372090268\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 7385.782340000001,
"volume1wkClob": 11720.862976000002,
"volume1moClob": 14994.353997000004,
"volume1yrClob": 18118.631893,
"volumeClob": 18118.631893,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb4f56c4d2bce85118e601f2b3c5e5573f1011405d70ba1bfa29d775e83c72638",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:13:29Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0895,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.024,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0595,
"lastTradePrice": 0.093,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:12:14.365545Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1655332",
"question": "Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?",
"conditionId": "0x0a56c2262bd104bca10387b9678fd154ce3111b5cc4de08f1feb728e911ce737",
"slug": "will-four-or-more-people-dissent-the-april-fed-decision",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:15:20.830923Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "405713.86903600016",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:20.94834Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:01:36.826563Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-29 22:15:04+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "4+",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019904",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-29T22:15:04Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 405713.86903600016,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 381227.8475580001,
"volume1wk": 386262.45410000015,
"volume1mo": 405315.61903600016,
"volume1yr": 405713.86903600016,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"64060170405380113423871802640850581339168557000136873993749909543987818107906\", \"35699518558143542033648728283773349845049401250390059214502436507902387034584\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 381227.8475580001,
"volume1wkClob": 386262.45410000015,
"volume1moClob": 405315.61903600016,
"volume1yrClob": 405713.86903600016,
"volumeClob": 405713.86903600016,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb424978f91ef6ec56a6382228817b09a7b3aea92cfa162c3dcec0ca5f5dcd794",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:13:59Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0025,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.069,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:12:14.372489Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1655329",
"question": "Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?",
"conditionId": "0x20f76a4336ebb545081b3baf5f34566d4bc6bec0d61c8e445412768077573bc0",
"slug": "will-one-person-dissent-the-april-fed-decision",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:14:56.733617Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "353042.15545300016",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:18.780335Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:01:40.706625Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-29 22:16:38+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019901",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-29T22:16:38Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 353042.15545300016,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 331763.755445,
"volume1wk": 336354.21932100004,
"volume1mo": 347220.68692400004,
"volume1yr": 353042.15545300004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"751356858330638030080441252744754324093741458858876358439132000734816808458\", \"6971755040230666733364592882943220967996448392501241653704255487020619900645\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 331763.755445,
"volume1wkClob": 336354.21932100004,
"volume1moClob": 347220.68692400004,
"volume1yrClob": 353042.15545300004,
"volumeClob": 353042.15545300016,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xe8933be0ffffe0367451a2dcc5524c86f782c1947489a488e99c6c9fe9fafe07",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:13:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.1445,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.2695,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.6045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:12:14.367343Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1655330",
"question": "Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?",
"conditionId": "0x47bae8d2c6f217990fb734f8b421226cd19a6bf2d485792c441ffbeaa49a90ed",
"slug": "will-two-people-dissent-the-april-fed-decision",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:15:05.700853Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "16342.55628899999",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:19.538894Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:01:39.166218Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-29 22:00:32+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019902",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-29T22:00:32Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 16342.55628899999,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 3585.7166780000002,
"volume1wk": 6926.209217,
"volume1mo": 16055.133788999998,
"volume1yr": 16342.556288999998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"24171065994204645245250004384499484679787818297226697306874979544870886731774\", \"11351106895126773166662183942604594161462944438623531475811284684644703163196\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 3585.7166780000002,
"volume1wkClob": 6926.209217,
"volume1moClob": 16055.133788999998,
"volume1yrClob": 16342.556288999998,
"volumeClob": 16342.55628899999,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x596ee38e3589480461442ef375b985cc376384386bb48a7a17660ee69a93bbd2",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:13:43Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0795,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.1595,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.4745,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:12:14.369022Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
},
{
"id": "1655331",
"question": "Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?",
"conditionId": "0xd79afdf120d7a195cba648333230c3bfce45acad681df33bdf80d4f636ca4366",
"slug": "will-three-people-dissent-the-april-fed-decision",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-20T00:15:10.681242Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anyone-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-9E-3Zl1neBVn.jpg",
"description": "The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "9989.798792999996",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-19T21:31:20.311635Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:01:32.693319Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-29 22:00:30+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "3",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019903",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-29T22:00:30Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 9989.798792999996,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1102.5577500000002,
"volume1wk": 6719.233846000002,
"volume1mo": 9828.588793,
"volume1yr": 9989.798793,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14489282131088684075601031343086376902735834076665502392210979123909766438015\", \"75937432376813525502638731110966423185931539428149467233397722059448721813897\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1102.5577500000002,
"volume1wkClob": 6719.233846000002,
"volume1moClob": 9828.588793,
"volume1yrClob": 9989.798793,
"volumeClob": 9989.798792999996,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0x871c52031fc2ab312e6c00ffeda376b9589dbb3a002d266cfbc4fb60e8019900",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x35f3109fd94a17b2f5c481981e58ca72424acc2267b3f5beca40534c73bc94bd",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:13:49Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0065,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0545,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1445,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:12:14.370734Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": "politics_fees",
"feeSchedule": {
"exponent": 1,
"rate": 0.04,
"takerOnly": true,
"rebateRate": 0.25
}
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10475",
"ticker": "dissent-at-fed-meeting",
"slug": "dissent-at-fed-meeting",
"title": "Dissent at Fed meeting",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-10-29T21:13:01.778646Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-30T00:02:08.549701Z",
"volume24hr": 725065.6597710002,
"commentCount": 56,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "159",
"label": "Fed",
"slug": "fed",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T21:09:42.963001Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101800",
"label": "Economic Policy",
"slug": "economic-policy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:34:30.088167Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:26:03.169374Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100196",
"label": "Fed Rates",
"slug": "fed-rates",
"forceShow": true,
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T17:15:07.579162Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:29:06.948273Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100478",
"label": "fomc",
"slug": "fomc",
"createdAt": "2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:41:15.156214Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"closedTime": "2026-04-29T22:16:38Z",
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "dissent-at-fed-meeting",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-20T00:10:25.405908Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-29T22:04:37.599Z"
}
}- Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?Vol 353.0KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
- Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Vol 405.7KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
- Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?Vol 18.1KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
- Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?Vol 16.3KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
- Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?Vol 10.0KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed