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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by
Volume
389.2K
24h volume
2.3K
1w volume
61.7K
Open interest
85.4K
Liquidity
55.7K
Liquidity CLOB
55.7K
Start
Apr 16, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 16, 2026
Event ID
386788
Slug
israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by
Markets
6
Raw event data
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}- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Vol 52Liq 13.3KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Vol 74.5KLiq 42.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Vol 157.9KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Vol 156.7KLiq —End May 31, 2026Closed
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by September 30, 2026?Vol 0Liq 0End Sep 30, 2026OpenOrder book