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Kash Patel out by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
kash-patel-out-by
Volume
376.4K
24h volume
42.2K
1w volume
142.0K
Open interest
94.0K
Liquidity
43.6K
Liquidity CLOB
43.6K
Start
Feb 23, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 23, 2026
Event ID
226019
Slug
kash-patel-out-by
Markets
4
Raw event data
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"context_description": "A scathing Atlantic report published three days ago alleging FBI Director Kash Patel's excessive drinking, unexplained absences, and erratic behavior has sparked intense scrutiny, with White House officials reportedly discussing his removal and Patel vowing a defamation lawsuit. Confirmed by the Senate in a 51-49 vote on February 20, 2025, Patel faces ongoing controversies, including lawsuits from fired agents claiming retaliation and ethics inquiries into his international trips. These developments have heightened uncertainty about his tenure amid Trump's administration turnover patterns, with traders monitoring potential Senate oversight hearings, budget testimonies, and legal outcomes that could precipitate an abrupt exit. No confirmed ouster has occurred, but institutional pressures and public reporting continue to shape expectations.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-20T10:34:22.516Z"
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}- Kash Patel out by December 31?Vol 48.6KLiq 16.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Vol 90.6KLiq 15.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Kash Patel out by April 30?Vol 194.8KLiq 13.1KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Kash Patel out by March 31?Vol 42.6KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed