
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31
Volume
381.1K
24h volume
17.3K
1w volume
91.3K
Open interest
125.4K
Liquidity
69.6K
Liquidity CLOB
69.6K
Start
Apr 17, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 17, 2026
Event ID
390108
Slug
trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31
Markets
1
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"title": "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by May 31?",
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"id": "262",
"label": "Strait of Hormuz",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "President Trump's recent Truth Social resharing of an AI-generated map labeling the Strait of Hormuz as the \"Strait of Trump\"—echoing his March verbal jest during a Miami speech amid the US-Iran war and naval blockade—has not translated into formal action, driving trader consensus to 97.3% on \"No.\" Official renaming of this critical international waterway, through which one-fifth of global oil passes, requires multilateral diplomatic agreements beyond unilateral executive authority, with no proclamations, executive orders, or congressional efforts announced. Heightened tensions, surging oil prices above $125 per barrel, and stalled negotiations prioritize conflict de-escalation over symbolic gestures. Late-breaking scenarios like an improbable White House decree could shift odds, but structural barriers remain formidable through May 31.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-05-02T07:34:56.324Z"
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}