
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15
Volume
563.5K
24h volume
277.5K
1w volume
430.2K
Open interest
146.0K
Liquidity
526.0K
Liquidity CLOB
526.0K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
301333
Slug
us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15
Markets
4
{
"id": "301333",
"ticker": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15",
"title": "U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.\n\nSeizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T20:58:51.042405Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-24T20:58:51.0424Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 525992.12572,
"volume": 563480.8430010001,
"openInterest": 145978.472648,
"createdAt": "2026-03-23T23:27:28.636189Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-21T19:45:47.078699Z",
"competitive": 0.8003199679231757,
"volume24hr": 277492.535105,
"volume1wk": 430208.7787060001,
"volume1mo": 435440.34464400006,
"volume1yr": 435440.34464400006,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 525992.12572,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1696325",
"question": "U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?",
"conditionId": "0xf6add9bf74e6cb7e645b969ade966c20e94042503612b89c61212cd60597774e",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-15T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-03-24T20:54:54.702Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.\n\nSeizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "128040.49835699997",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-23T23:27:30.389936Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T07:58:33.380682Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-16 07:59:44+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 15",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xf898c605ea9534abad79fe063658e38ebc24ea97ccb498636724f0f920ba5046",
"umaEndDate": "2026-04-16T07:59:44Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 128040.49835699997,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-15",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-24",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"58129486373592788189268101968099302843545899997179176944296818997016698637144\", \"42325698081391871816203215924343338945448254293920208110063325776058880582571\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 128040.49835699997,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-24T20:53:49Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.02,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0365,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-24T20:52:10.680245Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1849095",
"question": "U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?",
"conditionId": "0x036f32b7b18291ff94d09f0c11830d8b839aafd0148e644207be97a4f9bd5a8a",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-30",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "525182.82173",
"startDate": "2026-04-03T20:36:36.835691Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.\n\nSeizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",
"volume": "435514.21464400017",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-03T20:32:44.743481Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-21T19:47:37.483701Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April 30",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xe9a3d954d47fcc9b7d34f57545c7ec58c1e16e5901b5fe50dcaf834364778a38",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "disputed",
"volumeNum": 435514.21464400017,
"liquidityNum": 525182.82173,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-30",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-03",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 277566.405105,
"volume1wk": 429776.93612800015,
"volume1mo": 435514.21464400005,
"volume1yr": 435514.21464400005,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"99701940500121727292418397429817615595883615255368351271990294980806258260391\", \"50524326850831840906004985063549131212567630076016465114331905811762975215261\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 277566.405105,
"volume1wkClob": 429776.93612800015,
"volume1moClob": 435514.21464400005,
"volume1yrClob": 435514.21464400005,
"volumeClob": 435514.21464400017,
"liquidityClob": 525182.82173,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-03T20:35:31Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8003199679231757,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.669,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.5995,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\", \"disputed\", \"proposed\", \"disputed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-03T20:34:16.799889Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "2036094",
"question": "U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by May 15?",
"conditionId": "",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-may-15",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-15T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.\n\nSeizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-20T18:36:18.375678Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "",
"archived": false,
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "May 15",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-15",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "2036095",
"question": "U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by May 31?",
"conditionId": "",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-may-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-52ZgdVw45IgB.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nU.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.\n\nSeizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-20T18:36:49.584564Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "",
"archived": false,
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "May 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-05-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"negRisk": false,
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10897",
"ticker": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-ship",
"slug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-ship",
"title": "U.S. forces seize another oil ship",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "daily",
"image": "",
"icon": "",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"createdAt": "2026-01-15T22:48:58.181195Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-21T19:45:54.700306Z",
"volume24hr": 277492.535105,
"volume": 563480.8430010001,
"liquidity": 525992.12572,
"commentCount": 149,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:49:04.209055Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "309",
"label": "Oil",
"slug": "oil",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:53:13.969+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:53:13.977Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:40:55.156199Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104039",
"label": "U.S. x Iran",
"slug": "trump-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:30:08.870525Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:14.206724Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:19:53.890971Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-17T20:39:54.201881Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "us-forces-seize-another-oil-ship",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "U.S. forces boarded and seized the stateless M/T Tifani, a sanctioned crude oil tanker in the Indian Ocean, in a maritime interdiction announced by the Pentagon on April 21, continuing aggressive enforcement of sanctions against Iranian oil smuggling. This follows multiple prior seizures of Iran- and Venezuela-linked vessels earlier in 2026, amid heightened naval operations in the Arabian Sea and Indo-Pacific to disrupt illicit shipments evading U.S. restrictions. Traders assess trader consensus on further actions, with the Pentagon set to decide the tanker's disposition in coming days; potential Iranian responses or escalations near the Strait of Hormuz could influence probabilities, alongside any diplomatic signals from ongoing sanctions regime.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-21T19:34:38.543Z"
}
}