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Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-april
Volume
483.9K
24h volume
79.2K
1w volume
420.3K
Open interest
112.5K
Liquidity
104.2K
Liquidity CLOB
104.2K
Start
Apr 2, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 2, 2026
Event ID
333678
Slug
which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-april
Markets
28
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 release on April 16 has propelled it to the top of the Chatbot Arena's Text Math leaderboard—the key resolution source for this market—cementing a 93.8% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This frontier large language model demonstrates superior mathematical reasoning on rigorous benchmarks like FrontierMath Tier-4, AIME 2026 problems, and GPQA Diamond, approaching 99% accuracy through advanced test-time compute optimizations that enhance competition math performance. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro and recent upgrades briefly challenged but couldn't displace it, as scores saturated without leaderboard gains. With resolution imminent on April 30 via the no-style-control Text Arena Math tab, a surprise GPT-5.5 drop or equivalent from rivals could still shift rankings, though current momentum favors Anthropic's edge.",
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}- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Vol 228.9KLiq 6.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
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