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Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30
Volume
369.5K
24h volume
2.1K
1w volume
13.4K
Open interest
81.8K
Liquidity
121.2K
Liquidity CLOB
121.2K
Start
Mar 1, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Event ID
239820
Slug
who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30
Markets
8
Raw event data
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"slug": "who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30",
"title": "Who will enter Iran by June 30?",
"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-03-01T20:13:29.750109Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-01T20:13:29.7501Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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"active": true,
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{
"id": "1478016",
"question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?",
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"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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"restricted": true,
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{
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"question": "Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?",
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"liquidity": "16571.6616",
"startDate": "2026-03-01T20:10:33.135488Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30-rIZQMd7IQ8Qm.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30-rIZQMd7IQ8Qm.jpg",
"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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{
"id": "1478015",
"question": "Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0xaa2d85a0f668d96c7d7efc1c9ca736119b6d230a439daea9998be032e4ce007d",
"slug": "will-any-us-senator-enter-iran-by-june-30",
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"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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{
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"question": "Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?",
"conditionId": "0x77eafa497fe8ff7a41f540e2920e8897540b01f06b82477d168c4a21a7f9e57a",
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"description": "If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nFor markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
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"context_description": "Amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war that began February 28, 2026, with airstrikes on nuclear sites and regime infrastructure, trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for any listed US House member, senator, or figures like Marco Rubio or Jared Kushner entering Iran by June 30. A CNN investigation on May 1 revealed Iranian strikes damaged most US military sites in the Middle East, while Strait of Hormuz standoffs persist, disrupting shipping and spiking oil prices. President Trump's April 17 claim of US forces entering at a \"leisurely pace\" to recover enriched uranium has not materialized amid escalations, including Hezbollah attacks and no ceasefire. Prospects for diplomacy remain dim due to IRGC dominance, with a congressional 60-day war powers deadline approaching but no scheduled talks.",
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}- Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?Vol 78.6KLiq 16.6KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?Vol 28.4KLiq 15.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?Vol 20.0KLiq 16.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?Vol 15.6KLiq 13.0KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?Vol 91.6KLiq 16.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?Vol 41.8KLiq 17.3KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?Vol 27.4KLiq 15.7KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?Vol 66.1KLiq 10.9KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book