Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects the Iranian regime's demonstrated resilience following the March 1 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in US-Israeli strikes amid the 2026 Iran war, with the Assembly of Experts swiftly electing his son Mojtaba as successor by March 8. Despite widespread 2025–2026 protests, economic crisis, military setbacks, and IRGC losses, security forces have maintained control, suppressing dissent without mass defections or uprisings. US intelligence reports confirm no imminent collapse risk, and Israeli assessments deem popular revolt unlikely soon. Absent escalated unrest, leadership vacuums, or diplomatic breakthroughs, traders see slim odds of regime fall by May 31.",
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