
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on
Volume
405.5K
24h volume
93.6K
1w volume
187.4K
Open interest
47.8K
Liquidity
54.3K
Liquidity CLOB
54.3K
Start
Apr 10, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 10, 2026
Event ID
365078
Slug
will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on
Markets
20
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"context_description": "President Trump's frequent use of personal insults on Truth Social and in public remarks remains a hallmark of his communication style, particularly amid escalating tensions with Iran, where he issued profanity-laced threats against regime leaders on April 5, vowing strikes on power plants and bridges if demands go unmet. Recent barbs include sharp criticism of Pope Leo XIV as \"weak on crime\" and \"terrible for foreign policy\" on April 12-13, attacks on Fox News hosts and former allies like Tucker Carlson by April 16, and snaps at reporters aboard Air Force One. Traders weigh this pattern against the ongoing Iran blockade and delayed negotiations via Pakistan, with potential for further rhetoric if talks stall or domestic critics intensify ahead of any scheduled addresses.",
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