Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov

Volume

490.3K

24h volume

463.0K

1w volume

490.3K

Open interest

408.5K

Liquidity

36.5K

Liquidity CLOB

36.5K

Start

Apr 9, 2026

End

Apr 12, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 9, 2026

Event ID

361430

Slug

boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "361430",
  "ticker": "boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov",
  "slug": "boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov",
  "title": "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Fury\" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to \"Makhmudov\" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. \n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\" \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-04-09T17:16:50.631067Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-09T17:16:50.631054Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-12T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov-o_CKKs46-nST.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov-o_CKKs46-nST.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 36502.80841,
  "volume": 490267.0160079995,
  "openInterest": 408548.551686,
  "createdAt": "2026-04-09T17:04:00.301138Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-11T23:36:05.579522Z",
  "competitive": 0.8035160254240507,
  "volume24hr": 463016.1259700003,
  "volume1wk": 490267.01600800094,
  "volume1mo": 490267.01600800094,
  "volume1yr": 490267.01600800094,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 36502.80841,
  "commentCount": 4,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1929386",
      "question": "Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov",
      "conditionId": "0x0d83de769026b03b6d322f1c820f2a8bf232aa77941e1df486ca5df749a3e3cf",
      "slug": "boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-04-12T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "36503.8084",
      "startDate": "2026-04-09T17:12:33.512009Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov-o_CKKs46-nST.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/boxing-tyson-fury-vs-arslanbek-makhmudov-o_CKKs46-nST.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Fury\" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to \"Makhmudov\" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. \n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\" \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ",
      "outcomes": "[\"Fury\", \"Makhmudov\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.994\", \"0.006\"]",
      "volume": "490267.0160079995",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-09T17:04:00.50928Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-11T23:35:13.968283Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x720e973bc91a62dd66c9de1aae711b215883196d381e53395c70e3b22fe2372e",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 490267.0160079995,
      "liquidityNum": 36503.8084,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-12",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-09",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 463016.1259700003,
      "volume1wk": 490267.01600800094,
      "volume1mo": 490267.01600800094,
      "volume1yr": 490267.01600800094,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"5206479956536614569457124554476701301651455395741739789503117628281098470226\", \"107885339644573637766341059693649496864836944046739017233500184550458091632622\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 463016.1259700003,
      "volume1wkClob": 490267.01600800094,
      "volume1moClob": 490267.01600800094,
      "volume1yrClob": 490267.01600800094,
      "volumeClob": 490267.0160079995,
      "liquidityClob": 36503.8084,
      "makerBaseFee": 1000,
      "takerBaseFee": 1000,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-09T17:11:29Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8038352587867232,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.008,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.149,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0055,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.999,
      "bestBid": 0.99,
      "bestAsk": 0.998,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-09T17:10:15.614006Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": "sports_fees_v2",
      "feeSchedule": {
        "exponent": 1,
        "rate": 0.03,
        "takerOnly": true,
        "rebateRate": 0.25
      }
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "1146",
      "label": "tyson fury",
      "slug": "tyson-fury",
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:50:06.939+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:50:06.977Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:01.88568Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104521",
      "label": "Heavyweight",
      "slug": "heavyweight",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-09T17:04:00.766782Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-09T17:05:17.068699Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "683",
      "label": "Boxing",
      "slug": "boxing",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-08 21:19:42.815+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-08T21:19:42.83Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:21:01.754503Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1",
      "label": "Sports",
      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.69129Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104362",
      "label": "Combat Sports",
      "slug": "combat-sports",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-27T21:42:38.622564Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-27T21:45:06.984925Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104522",
      "label": "Arslanbek Makhmudov",
      "slug": "arslanbek-makhmudov",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-09T17:04:00.841615Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-09T17:05:17.067438Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Tyson Fury at 99.7% implied probability in his heavyweight comeback against Arslanbek Makhmudov, driven by Fury's elite pedigree as former lineal champion with proven wins over Deontay Wilder and Oleksandr Usyk, contrasted against Makhmudov's raw power but untested record versus top-tier opposition (entering 21-2, 19 KOs, mostly against mid-level foes). Recent fight week developments, including clean weigh-ins and Fury's sharp sparring reports after a 16-month layoff, reinforced this sentiment, with no injury concerns or withdrawals noted. Home advantage at London's Tottenham Hotspur Stadium adds edge. Realistic upset scenarios include ring rust exposing Fury early, Makhmudov's knockout threat landing flush, or a late scratch, though heavyweights' unpredictability underscores minimal but nonzero risk.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-11T23:34:31.177Z"
  }
}