
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
As of market creation, Citigroup is estimated to release earnings on April 14, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Citigroup's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.60 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Citigroup reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.60 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Citigroup releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Ticker
c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6
Volume
1.1K
24h volume
264
1w volume
1.0K
Open interest
804
Liquidity
2.0K
Liquidity CLOB
2.0K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Apr 14, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/
Event ID
326992
Slug
c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "326992",
"ticker": "c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6",
"slug": "c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6",
"title": "Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?",
"description": "As of market creation, Citigroup is estimated to release earnings on April 14, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Citigroup's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.60 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Citigroup reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.60 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Citigroup releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T00:14:05.938802Z",
"creationDate": "2026-03-31T00:14:05.938798Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6-lhqidgA4vjzs.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6-lhqidgA4vjzs.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 1990.6964,
"volume": 1092.032586,
"openInterest": 804.18875,
"sortBy": "ascending",
"createdAt": "2026-03-31T00:07:08.338324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-11T09:22:55.922266Z",
"competitive": 0.8880797495615106,
"volume24hr": 263.896648,
"volume1wk": 1029.467719,
"volume1mo": 1092.032586,
"volume1yr": 1092.032586,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 1990.6964,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1798166",
"question": "Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?",
"conditionId": "0x76618b4e9d671d272dc129cc0c63aab5821765b5fb3d575cbbe23f5017dec7dc",
"slug": "c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6",
"resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
"endDate": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1990.6141",
"startDate": "2026-03-31T00:10:55.991174Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6-lhqidgA4vjzs.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/c-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-14-2026-2pt6-lhqidgA4vjzs.png",
"description": "As of market creation, Citigroup is estimated to release earnings on April 14, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Citigroup's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.60 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Citigroup reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.60 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf Citigroup releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.86\", \"0.14\"]",
"volume": "1092.032586",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-31T00:07:08.685353Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-11T09:25:04.730725Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x8b4291214b776ee2f5a6a58b09fb6344239af35790b2e03da94ee4eed5fc32c2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 1092.032586,
"liquidityNum": 1990.6141,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-14",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 263.896648,
"volume1wk": 1029.467719,
"volume1mo": 1092.032586,
"volume1yr": 1092.032586,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"48263809359075280308019119876274581579355186749393353901347603128695522224435\", \"39075056596580975718246805328026851612331805222745368527184712941182275142118\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 263.896648,
"volume1wkClob": 1029.467719,
"volume1moClob": 1092.032586,
"volume1yrClob": 1092.032586,
"volumeClob": 1092.032586,
"liquidityClob": 1990.6141,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-31T00:09:49Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8852691218130312,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.08,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.13,
"lastTradePrice": 0.82,
"bestBid": 0.82,
"bestAsk": 0.9,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-31T00:08:35.625096Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"eventStartTime": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z",
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "103583",
"label": "C",
"slug": "c",
"createdAt": "2026-02-03T17:00:32.253997Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:44.391021Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1013",
"label": "Earnings",
"slug": "earnings",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:27:48.024+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:27:48.029Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.642885Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102676",
"label": "Equities",
"slug": "equities",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-10-14T20:02:08.297777Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.792759Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102169",
"label": "Hide From New",
"slug": "hide-from-new",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.476595Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-04-14T13:00:00Z",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88.5% implied probability that Citigroup (C) will beat its Q1 2026 GAAP EPS consensus of $2.60, reflecting robust year-over-year earnings growth projected at 34% to around $2.64 per analyst estimates, fueled by rising net interest income excluding markets and surging investment banking fees amid market volatility. Recent catalysts include Citigroup's April 3 announcement of segment reorganizations and five-year data recasts, underscoring ongoing efficiency gains targeting a 60% ratio and $2-2.5 billion in annual savings by year-end, alongside a track record of beats like Q4 2025's $1.81 versus $1.65 expected. Earnings release looms April 14, with focus on ROTCE progress toward 10-11%.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-11T05:39:13.139Z"
}
}- Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Vol 1.1KLiq 2.0KEnd Apr 14, 2026OpenOrder book