Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?

{
  "id": "358468",
  "ticker": "gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67",
  "slug": "gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67",
  "title": "Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?",
  "description": "As of market creation, General Dynamics is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for General Dynamics's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.67 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if General Dynamics reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.67 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf General Dynamics releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
  "resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
  "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:00:54.9948Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-04-08T23:00:54.994795Z",
  "endDate": "2026-04-22T13:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67-rvbCkEzgqoHl.png",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67-rvbCkEzgqoHl.png",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 5151.5712,
  "volume": 988.6413749999999,
  "openInterest": 496.421374,
  "sortBy": "ascending",
  "createdAt": "2026-04-08T20:23:55.079884Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T01:20:45.77234Z",
  "competitive": 0.8795848359574281,
  "volume24hr": 786.2604249999999,
  "volume1wk": 988.6413749999999,
  "volume1mo": 988.6413749999999,
  "volume1yr": 988.6413749999999,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 5151.5712,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1921506",
      "question": "Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?",
      "conditionId": "0x214f240fa0b2e5223559b39460d198391902e0d1af4bca1ef45e33eb46ba3fd9",
      "slug": "gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67",
      "resolutionSource": "https://seekingalpha.com/",
      "endDate": "2026-04-22T13:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "4249.4153",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T22:58:59.535018Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67-rvbCkEzgqoHl.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gd-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-04-22-2026-3pt67-rvbCkEzgqoHl.png",
      "description": "As of market creation, General Dynamics is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for General Dynamics's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.67 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if General Dynamics reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.67 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. \n\nIf General Dynamics releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” \n\nNote: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).\nNote: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. \nNote: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.\nNote: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.\nNote: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.\nNote: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.\n",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.87\", \"0.13\"]",
      "volume": "988.6413749999999",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T20:23:55.398842Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-15T01:20:13.598422Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xcbeb78ba64251461d75aeb8bc0a1c1c1794f1dabd078b1935d8a14b466f55868",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 988.6413749999999,
      "liquidityNum": 4249.4153,
      "endDateIso": "2026-04-22",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 786.2604249999999,
      "volume1wk": 988.6413749999999,
      "volume1mo": 988.6413749999999,
      "volume1yr": 988.6413749999999,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"103062570662163219629601711811987241072884501201530703755299847327636512250575\", \"43651391931534709414811278798037743636929077621551934746483978607159888823598\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 786.2604249999999,
      "volume1wkClob": 988.6413749999999,
      "volume1moClob": 988.6413749999999,
      "volume1yrClob": 988.6413749999999,
      "volumeClob": 988.6413749999999,
      "liquidityClob": 4249.4153,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T22:57:55Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8795848359574281,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "183523",
          "conditionId": "0x214f240fa0b2e5223559b39460d198391902e0d1af4bca1ef45e33eb46ba3fd9",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 40,
          "startDate": "2026-04-14",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.02,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.075,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.88,
      "bestBid": 0.86,
      "bestAsk": 0.88,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T22:56:38.912812Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "eventStartTime": "2026-04-22T13:00:00Z",
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "102169",
      "label": "Hide From New",
      "slug": "hide-from-new",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-05-23T18:47:07.430147Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:58.476595Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "120",
      "label": "Finance",
      "slug": "finance",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103394",
      "label": "GD",
      "slug": "gd",
      "createdAt": "2026-02-03T01:33:51.539094Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:02.720948Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1013",
      "label": "Earnings",
      "slug": "earnings",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:27:48.024+00",
      "createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:27:48.029Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.642885Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102676",
      "label": "Equities",
      "slug": "equities",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-10-14T20:02:08.297777Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.792759Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "startTime": "2026-04-22T13:00:00Z",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for General Dynamics (GD) to beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $3.72 EPS and ~$13 billion in revenue, driven by the company's consistent beat history—including Q4 2025's $4.17 EPS surpassing estimates by 1.5%—and a record $118 billion backlog fueled by surging defense contracts. Recent analyst upgrades, such as Wolfe Research raising its price target to $415 and Jefferies to $380 in early April, reflect optimism around 2026 guidance of $54.5 billion revenue and $16.15 EPS amid elevated Pentagon spending. Key catalyst: Q1 results webcast on April 29, with focus on Aerospace segment growth.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-15T00:30:14.812Z"
  }
}