
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Ticker
hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority
Volume
419.3K
24h volume
337.6K
1w volume
388.5K
Open interest
192.9K
Liquidity
22.0K
Liquidity CLOB
22.0K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Event ID
326476
Slug
hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "In Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, partial results with over 90% of votes counted show TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, securing 135-138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly—exceeding the 133 required for a constitutional supermajority under the mixed-member proportional system. Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat amid record turnout and pre-election polls like Medián projecting TISZA's dominance after months of surging support against incumbency fatigue. Trader consensus at 98% Yes reflects this decisive margin, with final certification pending but unlikely to shift absent extraordinary recounts, legal challenges, or ballot disputes in remaining rural strongholds.",
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}- Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Vol 419.3KLiq 22.0KEnd Apr 12, 2026OpenOrder book