Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

As of market creation, IMAX is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for IMAX’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.19 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if IMAX reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.19 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If IMAX releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Ticker

imax-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-22-2026-0pt19

Volume

970

24h volume

664

1w volume

970

Open interest

802

Liquidity

562

Liquidity CLOB

562

Start

Apr 8, 2026

End

Apr 22, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 8, 2026

Resolution source

https://seekingalpha.com/

Event ID

358470

Slug

imax-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-22-2026-0pt19

Markets

1

Tags

EarningsFinanceHide From NewIMAXEquities
Raw event data
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  "title": "Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?",
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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 50.5% implied probability for IMAX beating Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS consensus of approximately $0.19, amid expectations of 39% year-over-year earnings growth despite a projected 5% revenue decline to $82 million, highlighting seasonal Q1 weakness in box office receipts. Recent strength from blockbuster openings like Project Hail Mary's $28 million IMAX weekend—part of a record post-pandemic $1.77 billion domestic Q1 box office—bolsters beat hopes, reinforced by IMAX's streak of four consecutive quarterly EPS surprises averaging over 20%. However, downward revisions in analyst estimates and Zacks' low earnings surprise predictor temper optimism. The April 22 earnings release, disclosing actual Q1 global box office and margins, stands as the pivotal catalyst to resolve this deadlock.",
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