
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
As of market creation, PepsiCo Inc is estimated to release earnings on April 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for PepsiCo Inc’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.54 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if PepsiCo Inc reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.54 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If PepsiCo Inc releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Ticker
pep-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-16-2026-1pt54
Volume
105
24h volume
105
1w volume
105
Open interest
152
Liquidity
266
Liquidity CLOB
266
Start
Apr 6, 2026
End
Apr 16, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 6, 2026
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/
Event ID
350769
Slug
pep-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-04-16-2026-1pt54
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71.5% implied probability that PepsiCo (PEP) will beat Q1 2026 earnings expectations, driven by a strong Q4 2025 performance where adjusted EPS of $2.26 topped estimates by 0.89% and revenues rose 5.6% year-over-year to $29.34 billion amid Frito-Lay volume stabilization. Analysts project Q1 diluted EPS at $1.55, up 4.1% YoY, with revenue around $19.1 billion, supported by a positive Earnings Surprise Prediction metric of +0.03% and PEP shares up 5% year-to-date near $157. Consumer staples resilience and activist pressure from Elliott Management bolster sentiment, ahead of the April 16 report that could confirm organic growth recovery.",
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}- Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?Vol 105Liq 282End Apr 16, 2026OpenOrder book