Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

pete-hegseth-impeached-by-june-30

Volume

10.0K

24h volume

10.0K

1w volume

10.0K

Open interest

2.6K

Liquidity

42.3K

Liquidity CLOB

42.3K

Start

Apr 7, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 7, 2026

Event ID

352344

Slug

pete-hegseth-impeached-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNeither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.\n\nIf the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a \"Yes\" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "question": "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNeither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.\n\nIf the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a \"Yes\" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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  "tags": [
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      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Republican control of the House, with a slim but sufficient majority, renders impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth highly unlikely, as articles require simple majority passage before Senate trial needing two-thirds conviction—a bar unmet even in prior Democratic pushes. Hegseth, confirmed in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote on January 24, 2025, faced articles from Rep. Shri Thanedar in December 2025 over Venezuela operations that stalled without committee action. Yesterday, Rep. Yassamin Ansari announced new impeachment articles citing Hegseth's role in escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and alleged war crimes, but traders see this as partisan theater amid GOP loyalty and no scheduled votes before June 30. Ongoing Iran conflict adds scrutiny, yet historical precedent for cabinet impeachments remains rare absent bipartisan support.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T11:25:38.067Z"
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