Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-april-30

Volume

351.2K

24h volume

55.8K

1w volume

263.2K

Open interest

167.1K

Liquidity

27.8K

Liquidity CLOB

27.8K

Start

Mar 19, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 19, 2026

Event ID

286503

Slug

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-april-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?",
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    "context_description": "Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead the Pentagon amid the recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire, holding joint briefings with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine on April 8 to outline military operations and post-conflict posture, signaling strong continuity in his role just two days ago. Trader consensus at 93.7% \"No\" reflects the absence of any public resignation statements, White House signals of removal, or viable impeachment path, despite Democratic criticism—including a new House impeachment push three days ago and attacks from Rep. Hakeem Jeffries on his qualifications. March controversies over Hegseth's removal of Black and female officers from promotion lists and ousting Army Chief Randy George have not prompted action, underscoring institutional barriers to near-term ouster before April 30 absent major scandals or health events.",
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