
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Ticker
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-may-31-2026
Volume
98.8K
24h volume
37.2K
1w volume
91.0K
Open interest
84.4K
Liquidity
130.8K
Liquidity CLOB
130.8K
Start
Mar 31, 2026
End
May 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 31, 2026
Event ID
326314
Slug
russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-may-31-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Vol 98.8KLiq 131.0KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book