Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Ticker

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-715

Volume

28

24h volume

28

1w volume

28

Open interest

21

Liquidity

458

Liquidity CLOB

458

Start

Apr 10, 2026

End

Apr 18, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Apr 10, 2026

Event ID

362176

Slug

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-715

Markets

1

Tags

approvalsTrumpPoliticsrewards 10, 4.5, 50Approval
Raw event data
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  "title": "Trump approval Up or Down this week?",
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