Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

Ticker

trump-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-2027

Volume

10.1K

24h volume

2.7K

1w volume

4.5K

Open interest

5.1K

Liquidity

35.3K

Liquidity CLOB

35.3K

Start

Nov 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 5, 2025

Event ID

73176

Slug

trump-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nIf Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.",
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    {
      "id": "10551",
      "ticker": "trump-25th-amendment",
      "slug": "trump-25th-amendment",
      "title": "Trump 25th Amendment",
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      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
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      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
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    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Despite a surge in Democratic calls for invoking the 25th Amendment—including from Gov. JB Pritzker, Sen. Chris Murphy, and the NAACP—following President Trump's recent inflammatory Easter message threatening Iran with destruction, traders price \"No\" at 89% implied probability. These partisan demands lack support from Vice President JD Vance or a majority of Trump's loyal Cabinet appointees, who must initiate Section 4 for presidential incapacity, a process never successfully used. No verified health issues or official executive actions indicate removal, reinforcing trader consensus on high structural barriers amid policy disputes rather than demonstrated unfitness, with Congress unlikely to sustain any challenge given Republican majorities.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T21:54:44.145Z"
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