UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Ticker

ufc-kel-vic-2026-04-11

Volume

99.4K

24h volume

39.5K

1w volume

97.7K

Open interest

87.2K

Liquidity

104.5K

Liquidity CLOB

104.5K

Start

Mar 25, 2026

End

Apr 12, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 25, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Event ID

308125

Slug

ufc-kel-vic-2026-04-11

Markets

9

Raw event data
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  "title": "UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Kelvin Gastelum\" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Vicente Luque\" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.ufc.com/events",
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    "context_description": "Kelvin Gastelum enters as the trader consensus favorite at 72% implied probability against Vicente Luque in this middleweight early prelim bout at UFC 327 in Miami, driven by his natural size at 185 pounds and sharper striking power, contrasting Luque's recent welterweight cut struggles. Both made weight cleanly at Friday's weigh-ins, with Gastelum appearing in top condition after past issues. The matchup stems from February's reshuffle when Kyle Daukaus withdrew due to injury; Luque (23-12-1), on a two-fight skid including 2025 losses to Kevin Holland and Joel Álvarez, seeks a fresh start moving up, leveraging his four-inch reach edge and nine submission wins, while Gastelum (21-10-0, 1 NC) builds off a recent decision win over Dustin Stoltzfus.",
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