Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices \"No\" at 81.5% for a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, driven by stringent legal barriers requiring a six-month post-ceasefire period before any national vote, as ruled by Ukraine's electoral commission amid the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war. Recent developments underscore stagnation: Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated peace talks are paused due to shifting U.S. priorities just days ago, while a March Russian spring offensive further stalled diplomacy despite fleeting February reports of Zelenskyy eyeing elections and referendums. Polls indicate war fatigue, with 55-61% supporting a referendum on territorial compromises, but no ceasefire or official preparations have materialized, leaving structural preconditions unmet and little time before year-end resolution.",
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