
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ticker
us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-april-30
Volume
9.7K
24h volume
1.2K
1w volume
4.0K
Open interest
4.6K
Liquidity
9.7K
Liquidity CLOB
9.7K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
304142
Slug
us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-by-april-30
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "The U.S. Embassy in Beirut continues normal operations with core diplomatic staff in place after a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, prompted by regional tensions including Iran-related threats and Israel-Hezbollah clashes. A Level 4 \"Do Not Travel\" advisory for Lebanon persists, with the latest April 3 security alert citing volatile conditions from airstrikes, drones, and rocket fire while urging U.S. citizens to use commercial flights—without changes to embassy posture. Recent U.S.-Iran temporary ceasefire excludes Lebanon, as Israeli strikes intensify without prompting full evacuation. Trader consensus implying 94.7% \"No\" reflects stable diplomatic presence amid ongoing assessments, though major escalation like direct attacks on U.S. assets could alter outcomes before April 30.",
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}- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?Vol 9.7KLiq 9.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book