Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

{
  "id": "73213",
  "ticker": "will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-before-2027",
  "slug": "will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-before-2027",
  "title": "Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAny referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-11-05T19:30:51.779911Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-11-05T19:30:51.779908Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-in-2025-WCgHlWmtkYVe.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-in-2025-WCgHlWmtkYVe.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 42263.5637,
  "volume": 312055.1535929984,
  "openInterest": 120678.613932,
  "createdAt": "2025-11-04T22:12:35.056688Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T14:02:41.846655Z",
  "competitive": 0.934382956854867,
  "volume24hr": 6488.349076,
  "volume1wk": 160420.48552400005,
  "volume1mo": 239052.82883600058,
  "volume1yr": 312055.15359300066,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 42263.5637,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "665502",
      "question": "Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x006e3bc30b325c9cd4e4a35e33738e7f49634dc353f8495303d511b875d8ad5b",
      "slug": "will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-before-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "42544.1634",
      "startDate": "2025-11-05T19:25:15.364Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-in-2025-WCgHlWmtkYVe.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-a-province-schedule-a-referendum-to-leave-canada-in-2025-WCgHlWmtkYVe.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAny referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.765\", \"0.235\"]",
      "volume": "312055.1535929984",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-04T22:12:35.651689Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T14:01:40.39812Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x9fa148f5b5ae4a1b4bfbd71006375956354afdb69fb2a55a3a284cbc1b02712f",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 312055.1535929984,
      "liquidityNum": 42544.1634,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-05",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 6488.349076,
      "volume1wk": 160417.15885900002,
      "volume1mo": 239052.82883600058,
      "volume1yr": 312055.15359300066,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"82192875338543444321050059158489019675098254652958667767854340749139444164787\", \"104843058660950376380723861571450239193841790194474890622661228053834376067728\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 6488.349076,
      "volume1wkClob": 160417.15885900002,
      "volume1moClob": 239052.82883600058,
      "volume1yrClob": 312055.15359300066,
      "volumeClob": 312055.1535929984,
      "liquidityClob": 42544.1634,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-05T19:24:53Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.934382956854867,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "96964",
          "conditionId": "0x006e3bc30b325c9cd4e4a35e33738e7f49634dc353f8495303d511b875d8ad5b",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 20,
          "startDate": "2026-03-09",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.01,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.175,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.155,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.76,
      "bestBid": 0.76,
      "bestAsk": 0.77,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-05T19:24:27.308774Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10568",
      "ticker": "canadian-secession-referendum",
      "slug": "canadian-secession-referendum",
      "title": "Canadian Secession Referendum",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-05T20:33:07.580721Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-07T13:59:21.789682Z",
      "volume24hr": 6538.349076,
      "volume": 312055.1535929984,
      "liquidity": 42274.4937,
      "commentCount": 118,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "245",
      "label": "Canada",
      "slug": "canada",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:42:24.942+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:42:24.949Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.550256Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.420693Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "canadian-secession-referendum",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Alberta separatists with the Stay Free Alberta group announced last week they have surpassed 177,000 signatures on a citizen-initiated petition, exceeding the threshold to force a provincial referendum on independence from Canada tentatively set for October 19, 2026. Premier Danielle Smith has pledged to advance such a vote if verified by Elections Alberta, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% for yes amid ongoing tensions over federal resource policies and equalization payments. Recent court challenges from First Nations question the referendum wording's legality, while polls show limited public support for separation but strong backing for the ballot process itself. No other provinces like Saskatchewan or Quebec show comparable momentum, with verification and potential legal hurdles as key upcoming catalysts before year-end.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-07T13:50:37.498Z"
  }
}